Markets

Green Dot Soars While Celanese, BigBear.ai Tumble on Earnings News

The latest round of quarterly earnings reports created significant volatility in the market Tuesday, rewarding companies that beat expectations while punishing those that missed targets or issued weak guidance. Fintech firm Green Dot was a standout winner, while disappointing results and forecasts sent shares of BigBear.ai and Celanese Corp. sharply lower.

The day’s trading activity served as a clear reminder of how closely investors are scrutinizing corporate performance and future outlooks.

Winners Rewarded for Strong Performance

Green Dot (NYSE: GDOT) was the day’s biggest gainer, with its stock spiking an impressive 19%. The surge came after the company delivered powerful second-quarter results that significantly surpassed analyst expectations. Green Dot reported an EPS of $0.40, a full $0.10 above the consensus estimate of $0.30. Revenue was equally strong, coming in at $501.16 million, easily clearing the expected $460.86 million.

Mercury Systems (NASDAQ: MRCY) also enjoyed a positive reaction, with its stock climbing 7%. The aerospace and defense technology company topped estimates with its fourth-quarter report. Mercury posted an EPS of $0.47, more than double the analyst estimate of $0.22. Its quarterly revenue of $273.1 million also beat the consensus of $243.61 million.

Guidance and Misses Drive Stocks Lower

On the other side of the ledger, weak future guidance proved costly for several firms. Celanese Corp. (NYSE: CE) saw its shares fall 14% despite reporting quarterly results that were in line with expectations. The sharp drop was attributed to the company’s disappointing third-quarter forecast. Celanese announced it expects Q3 2025 EPS in the range of 1.40, well below the Wall Street consensus of $1.73.

Similarly, Fluence Energy, Inc. (FLNC) fell 14% after its full-year guidance failed to impress. The energy storage company projected its fiscal year 2025 revenue to be between $2.6 billion and $2.8 billion. The midpoint of this range falls short of the consensus estimate of $2.731 billion, signaling potential headwinds to investors.

The day’s steepest decline belonged to BigBear.ai (BBAI), which plummeted 24% following a major earnings miss. The AI and data analytics company reported a second-quarter EPS loss of (0.06) loss. Its revenue of $32.5 million also came in far below the consensus of $41.19 million, indicating significant operational challenges.

Prakash Gupta

Prakash Gupta has been a financial journalist since 2016, reporting from India, Spain, New York, London, and now back in the US again. His experience and expertise are in global markets, economics, policy, and investment. Jamie's roles across text and TV have included reporter, editor, and columnist, and he has covered key events and policymakers in several cities around the world.
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